Unfortunately, I cannot review your simulator and what exactly does it do, but I can tell you for sure (and you can verify it with any statistics professor): if you roll dice with 9 sides (representing our BPs) for 10M times you will get approximately 10M/9 occurrences for each side. The chance of getting only 43 times for one side (one BP) is almost 0.
That's what started this thread, I looked at it. Came to the conclusion that it is a cherry picked data set to prove a point. RR plays in 4 worlds. Which worlds are these from? On en6 RR has a lvl 19 arc, meaning he has already burned 10 full sets of prints. If you add 10 to each bucket, I think you have a reasonably random distribution from 11 to 22 prints per slot.
Selectively picked to prove a point
Good point. Nope. I've never seen anything from INNO that says you always have a 1 in 9 chance of getting the last BP.
Nope. I don't think they would need to do that. Getting the last BP is always going to be harder than the others. You have a 100% chance of getting a BP you need when you get the first one. You only have an 11% chance of getting the last one. INNO wins just by simple math, but if they bias it even more in their favor, you are right, they never said it was fair.
Wiki says you can expect 10 to 15 incidents per day, and they stick around for 24 hrs. They don't define when the day begins and ends or when they might appear. If the number of incidents falls below the minimum of 10, then there would be something wrong with that. (If nothing else, the Wiki needs to be updated).
Only if you mislead people. When INNO does show the probability of something, it should be right. When they say the Racoon has a 13% chance at the DS, I expect that to be right. But no one player can collect a big enough sample size to know if the 13% is right. So we always get a bunch of people complaining the odds are wrong. And others saying they beat the odds. As long as there are people posting on both sides, I figure INNO must be doing it about right without cheating.
Another side of looking at this too - is who knows how truthful this so-called data was. It is 6 examples each showing a slot with a single BP. Was it the last BP as the poster is trying to suggest, or were there more BP's added afterwards to the other slots, so as to skew the results.
It isn't biased, it's just fact that RNG doesn't work like this:
No, his math was right
Everyone has their own math they believe in
I thought I already did:
So you have a sample size of 1. By your own math, there is a 0.6% chance that you would get that outcome if Inno's claim is correct. So let's just round that off and say it's a thing that will happen to 1 in every 200 players. So what exactly are you complaining to Inno about? That something that happens to only 1 in 200 players happened to you? What exactly are you expecting them to do about that?
Inno has no reason to lie to you about the chances of obtaining the specific BP. Some players just don't have enough luck, somebody get just normal BP distribution. As I already said, I have been extremely licky many times that I got just the BP I needed from trading 2:1 a few times in a row. So yes, chance is 1/9.
Nah, you're bottom left is a good 10-20 short compared to the rest