fred54
Private
As I understand it, when using the trade function, the post-trade bp that you get can turn up in any one of the nine slots, including the two slots from which the bp’s were picked to do the trade. Is this right?
My suspicion is that not all slots are equal. An empty slot has a lower chance of receiving the post-trade bp than does a non-empty slot.
This effect becomes more noticeable as the number of empty slots decreases. If I have seven empty slots to start with then the chance of my new bp hitting any one of them is higher than the chance of it hitting any one of the two already-filled slots, even allowing for the bias towards the already-filled slots. Simply because there are more empty slots than already-filled ones.
On the other hand, if I only have one empty slot then the chance of hitting it could be a lot less than 1-in-9, depending on the bias.
My suspicion is that not all slots are equal. An empty slot has a lower chance of receiving the post-trade bp than does a non-empty slot.
This effect becomes more noticeable as the number of empty slots decreases. If I have seven empty slots to start with then the chance of my new bp hitting any one of them is higher than the chance of it hitting any one of the two already-filled slots, even allowing for the bias towards the already-filled slots. Simply because there are more empty slots than already-filled ones.
On the other hand, if I only have one empty slot then the chance of hitting it could be a lot less than 1-in-9, depending on the bias.