Battlegrounds negotiations diamond rigged or just bad luck ??????

[Skeletor1]

If all members in a guild could spend guild goods on negotiations, it would definitely drain the guild treasury in a very short time.

Not if you are a guild of one! However, I can see the issue when there are a lot of people in a guild - very true. For us one person Guild players (There are a lot of us), the option would be nice

 

[romeo-rainy]

Result 4

You are terrible at negotiating

LOL negotiation is easy, there are some tactics. The game usually wants coins, supplies, the goods you have the most or least.

 

[Helcaraxe]

Is battleground negotiations coded for you to spend more diamonds for successful negotiations or is it just bad luck lol......

with a Math background , i decided to do a study these past 5 battlegrounds on the average % probability outcomes in battleground negotiations

The results may surprise you .....
or maybe not.....

the study results is conducted over 1000 negotiations over 5 battlegrounds

result 1.
when there is a probability of 50% of you getting a successful negotiation , the actual in game result is 21%

result2
when there is a probability of 33% of you getting a successful negotiation , the actual in game result is 14%

result 2
when there is a probability of 25% of you getting a successful negotiation , the actual in game result drops to a very low 6%

maybe the game coding runs the same as poker machines lol

anyhow

have a nice day

I have to agree,
Where there are two options left for the final spot to complete a negotiation then pure chance would dictate I would win 50% of the time.
However I lose 4 times out of 5 (same as you).
This should be statistically impossible to do,

 

[Knight of ICE]

I have to agree,
Where there are two options left for the final spot to complete a negotiation then pure chance would dictate I would win 50% of the time.
However I lose 4 times out of 5 (same as you).
This should be statistically impossible to do,

Is it? Is it impossible to toss a coin and have it land on heads four times in a row?

 

[Helcaraxe]

Is it? Is it impossible to toss a coin and have it land on heads four times in a row?

Unlikely but not impossible. However to have it land on heads 800 times out of 1000 is statistically impossible

 

[Knight of ICE]

Unlikely but not impossible. However to have it land on heads 800 times out of 1000 is statistically impossible

Improbable, not impossible. Besides that, you were talking about 4 out of 5, not 800 out of a 1000.

 

[Andrew420]

you were talking about 4 out of 5, not 800 out of a 1000

Its the same thing
800 out of 1000 in its simplest form is 4 out of 5

 

[Knight of ICE]

Its the same thing
800 out of 1000 in its simplest form is 4 out of 5

There is a difference in claimen a game is rigged after only 5 tries or after 1000 tries. With 1000 tries you at least gave it an effort to examine. With only 5 tries you are crying wolf.

 

[En Passant]

Its the same thing
800 out of 1000 in its simplest form is 4 out of 5

It's not the same thing, it is the same proportion.
The former has far greater accuracy and statistical significance than the latter.

 

[shadowblackff]

Speaking from personal experience, it is random. There have been cases when I had 1 in 2 or 1 in 3 (or even 1 in 4) chance to get it right, and guessed correctly 5+ times in a row. But there have also been cases where I got it wrong 5+ times in a row despite having 1 in 2 odds. No reason to think anything is rigged.