Anyone got a pergola without paying yet?
I've run the numbers and as long as I get the +1 Yard coach, then yes once I spend my currency. So far I haven't spent anything
You do need to be going exclusively for the Red Players whenever Red is available though, and you do need the Yard Coach if you don't want to be relying on luck or getting enough incident currency
Every time I have played the game I have used the "Double Point" collection
If you're actively playing every day and gathering all possible streams of Event Currency then the +1 Yard Coach is pretty much guaranteed to be worth 2 Upgrades
If you're using the League Coach then your best case scenario is merely matching what the Yard Coach would have provided.
10,870 expected Event Currency by end of Event (not counting incidents):
The following numbers are if you were to exclusively use all your currency on a single player, for the purpose of determining absolute best and worst case scenario's.
Best Case Scenario Red Player (+1 Yard Coach):
(10,870 / 41) x 5 = 1,325 yards achieved.
Best Case Scenario Red Player (No Coach):
(10,870 / 41) x 4 = 1,060 yards achieved.
Worst Red Player (+1 Yard Coach):
(10,870 / 49) x 5 = 1,105 yards achieved
Worst Red Player (No Coach):
(10,870 / 49) x 4 = 884 yards achieved
Absolute Worst Grey / Blue Player Outcome (+1 Yard Coach):
(10,870 / 78) x 7 = 973 yards achieved
Absolute Worst Grey / Blue Player Outcome (No Coach):
(10,870 / 78) x 6 = 834 yards achieved